Vail, AZ, Real Estate Market Prices, Trends and Forecast 2023

Shelly Laster


In Pima County, Arizona, Vail is one of the state’s most beautiful locales. The refreshing climate, expansive network of caves (check out the Colossal Cave), and breathtaking natural scenery in the rugged landscapes make this part of Arizona an endlessly exciting place to call home.

If you’re interested in moving to Vail or purchasing luxury real estate here, you likely want to know more about the Vail, AZ, real estate market. Read on below to catch up on all the market trends that make Vail such a promising location for high-end real estate.

The Vail, AZ, housing market forecast 2023

If you are interested in Vail real estate, it’s essential to do some research ahead of time to figure out where the market may be headed and what you can expect. This way, you can ensure you are buying or selling at the right time. Read all about it below.

Gorgeous properties

Vail, AZ, offers a charming and highly sought-after residential landscape characterized by a unique blend of scenic beauty and modern amenities.

Nestled amidst the breathtaking Sonoran Desert, Vail's homes boast stunning views of rugged mountains and picturesque landscapes, creating an idyllic backdrop for its residents. The area offers a wide range of beautiful housing options, from spacious single-family homes on expansive lots to stylish townhouses and cozy condos, catering to various lifestyle preferences. On your home search in Vail, you can find elegant estates and custom properties with Rincon Mountain views, plenty of entertainment space, upscale finishes, and peaceful surroundings.

Vail's housing market offers an appealing mix of desert-inspired architecture, expansive spaciousness, and stunning beauty, making it an attractive destination for homebuyers looking to settle in this charming Arizona community.

Home values increasing

The most promising figure to note about the Vail, AZ, real estate scene is that the price for homes is trending upward, albeit gradually.

According to the latest local market update by the Multiple Listing Service of Southern Arizona, Pima County has seen a steady rise in the median sales price, with a 2.6% increase when comparing June 2022 to June 2023. In addition, similarly, the median sales price has risen by 2.7% year-to-date, currently sitting at $375,000. The average sales price for the county is around $456,000, which is also up since last year.

Single-family homes within Pima County spend about 42 days on the market, which is significantly longer than last year. This mirrors the nationwide slowdown in the housing scene, wherein many buyers are hesitant to make moves due to rising inflation and mortgage interest rates. Throughout the county, 1.8 months of inventory are available on the market, which is still relatively low but has risen since last year.

Zooming into Vail, AZ, real estate specifically, the median price currently sits at approximately $450,000, which is higher than the county as a whole. This data bodes well for new residents hoping to invest in high-end properties in the area for long-term appreciation. It is expected that the value of luxury homes in Vail will continue to climb in the coming months and years.

Rising interest rates

It’s no secret that interest rates for mortgages across the country have climbed significantly since the Federal Reserve decided to raise rates uniformly in late 2022. Rising mortgage interest rates can have a significant impact on home buyers, influencing their purchasing power and overall affordability.

As interest rates climb, the cost of borrowing increases, leading to higher monthly mortgage payments for prospective homeowners. This rise in expenses can strain budgets and make it more challenging for buyers to afford their dream homes or even qualify for loans they once could comfortably obtain.

Moreover, higher interest rates might prompt some potential buyers to reconsider their plans, causing a decrease in demand for homes. Overall, rising mortgage interest rates can create a more cautious and competitive environment for home buyers, requiring careful financial planning and consideration of long-term implications before buyers feel comfortable with making a purchase.

Consistent net population migration

Clocking in at about 14,700 residents, the community of Vail, AZ, is certainly not the largest in its part of the state. Nevertheless, the state of Arizona has been a magnet for new residents seeking high-end homes and incredible natural vistas that simply can’t be captured anywhere else in the county. As such, the population of the city has remained relatively consistent over the last two years. It’s expected that these figures will continue on track in the coming future, indicating that the community will continue to expand and move forward to a promising horizon.

The Vail, AZ, real estate market: should you invest?

Combining all the data points above, it’s clear that Vail, AZ, is one of the most exciting communities to keep in mind for your next move in the coming years. Buyer demand remains high while the net population climbs and home prices continue to gradually increase month over month — promising a solid return on investment. Not only that, but the natural wonders are truly incredible here, and the luxury properties have endless amenities to offer. If you’re considering Vail, AZ, real estate as your next piece of paradise, now is an ideal time to begin your journey.

Get in touch with a local real estate agent today

With this data in mind, you might feel prepared to make your move to Vail, AZ. If you have any questions or comments to share, or if you’d like to learn more about buying and selling luxury homes in Vail and the surrounding area, reach out today! Contact trusted Realtor® Shelly Laster for more information.

Shelly promises exceptional market insight, in-depth local knowledge, and top-tier customer attention. Her extensive professional connections, positive outlook, and commitment to your goals will help you achieve everything you’ve hoped for in your real estate endeavors. So, when you’re ready to get started in Vail, AZ, real estate, reach out to Shelly!

*Header photo courtesy of Shutterstock


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